The Cook Political Reports Jessica Taylor said demographic shifts were one reason for the state's competitiveness. In 2010 Obama was at 45 percent; and in 2018 Trump was at 42 percent. He attributed inflation and high gas prices to Hassan and other Democrats. Weak leaders create bad results and we are sick and tired of politicians not being held accountable for their actions. In 2020, 40 incumbent members of Congress36 representatives and four senatorsdidn't seek re-election. Incumbent Raphael Warnock (D) and Herschel Walker (R) advanced to a runoff election on December 6, 2022. [] We must make more stuff in America, cut taxes for working families, [and] Congress shouldn't play in the stock market. A penalty of five points is a big number in todays polarized era. Republicans were defending two Senate seats in states Joe Biden (D) won in the 2020 presidential election: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Masters' campaign website listed public safety as his top priority. That U.S. Senate seat was also up for regular election in 2022. The 2022 Australian federal election in the Senate was held on 21 May 2022 to elect 40 of the 76 senators in the Australian Senate, after a six-week campaign. "In Senate races you have the resources to make it a real choice; it doesn't have to be a derivative choice of an affirmation of the president or not. JB Pritzker, a Democrat, and Pennsylvania Republican Senate candidate Mehmet Oz. Apply today! Sen. Kyrsten Sinema changed her affiliation from Democrat to independent after the 2022 elections. No candidates. The three candidates advanced from the top-four primary held on August 16, 2022, the first time Alaska used such a system in a Senate race since voters there approved it in 2020. One Nation is gearing up for its first South Australian state election campaign since 2006, with its state leader insisting the Pauline Hanson-founded party is well-placed to influence both the policy debate and the state's next government. Tshibaka said, "Lisa Murkowski has enabled Bidens agenda by casting the tie-breaking deciding vote to advance his anti-energy Interior Secretary nominee and confirming over 90% of his radical nominees. Hover over a state for more information. He also said that he was a "proven Conservative [who will] take the fight to the Senate and save our values, our culture, and our country. Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. Labor's Murray Watt accused Mr Christensen and Senator Hanson of simply chasing a taxpayer-funded payday. The AP VoteCast survey shows a nearly 10 percent gap in favor of Democrats.[98]. @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { .split-cols-c-list { The numbers on the left side of the table reflect how many vacant seats were originally held by each party, while the numbers on the right side of the table show how many vacant seats each party won in special elections. In the 2020 Senate election cycle, Democrats flipped four seats and Republicans flipped one: This section includes commentary on the 2022 U.S. Senate elections both before and after November 8. With the results in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania all within the margin of one MAGA penalty, its entirely plausible that Mr. Trumps candidates cost the Republicans control of the Senate.[98]. Only four Democratic seats are considered competitive: Arizona, Georgia, New Hampshire and Nevada. Total votes. Hes abandoned Labor, and voters in the Hunter should abandon Labor too. Retrieved 7 April 2022. This is, in part, because all 435 seats are up in each House election, whereas only about one-third of Senate seats (and roughly two-thirds of states) are up. In the 2016 election, Trump carried North Carolina with 49.8% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 46.2%. "[87] Fetterman had a stroke on May 15, 2022. In 2018, incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) defeated Leah Vukmir (R), 55% to 45%. Senator Hanson said Kate McCulloch would be a strong advocate for farmers, regional NSW and Australia, while Colin Grigg would excel at protecting the fundamental principles of Australian democracy while promoting more direct involvement by Australians in their government. "[84] To read more about Oz's key messages, click here. The vocal critic of COVID-19 restrictions and vaccinations had declared his intention to retire from Parliament, after holding the regional Queensland seat of Dawson for the Nationals since 2010. Candidate lists may be incomplete until each state's filing deadline has passed. It will meanMr Christensen will be eligible for a little-known entitlement called the resettlement allowance, which is a one-off payment worth six months' salary, or in his case about $105,000 a year money he would not otherwise receive. One Nation gets more money if Christensen boosts her vote. That cycle produced nine states with one Democratic and Republican U.S. The two top self-funders of the 2022 midterms, Illinois Gov. Too often neighbors and families just stop talking to each other, and the politicians in Washington continue to divide us even further," she said. "[96], On February 13, 2021, former President Donald Trump (R) was acquitted of incitement of insurrection. 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Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. "[35], Demings was elected to the U.S. House in 2016, representing Florida's 10th Congressional District. Sen. Harry Reid (D) held the seat from 1987 to 2017. In 2016, Toomey won re-election against Katie McGinty (D) 49% to 47%. Rhiannon Bosma was earlier. Charlie Crist (I) with 49% of the vote. One Nation One Nation struggled despite fielding candidates in 149 of 151 House of Representatives seats. A primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. The next biggest gap came in Arizona, where Sen. Mark Kelly defeated GOP challenger Blake Masters by 16 points with the crucial voting bloc. State by state, those numbers come through in news networks exit polling (which provides an incomplete but early look at how an electorate behaved during an election) and other post-election surveys. Pauline Hansons One Nation will field a strong team of candidates in New South Wales for the Federal election, with the partys Senate ticket announced today along with its candidate for the key seat of Hunter. This is a great team were taking to the voters of the Hunter and New South Wales. [80] Vance said, "We really need people who are solving the big problems. These results suggest that Republicans have a slight edge in the 2022 Senate elections when it comes to potential seat swing based on the fundamentals in these races. } General elections are often the focal point of election-year media coverage as they determine control of elected offices up and down the ballot. The Supreme Court of North Carolina ordered the postponement of the statewide primary, originally scheduled for March 8, 2022, to May 17, 2022. columns: 1; In 2016, he wrote Hillbilly Elegy, a memoir about growing up in Middletown, Ohio. The 2016 and 2020 presidential elections in Florida were both decided by less than 4 percentage points. [25], U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and fellow Alaska U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) endorsed Murkowski. Why the asymmetry? "[22][23] Tshibaka also focused on economic issues and said she supports a Parental Bill of Rights that would give parents "a right to be fully informed and to approve of any sex education, gender identification, or race theory material being presented or discussed with their child. Weve even made some changes to our forecast model to reflect this. The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in Arizona were similarly close. That dynamic has grown so powerful that each party now holds just three of the 50 Senate seats in the 25 states that voted against their presidential candidates in the 2020 election. This race was Ozs first run for political office. Among women, inflation was the top concern for 46 percent of respondents, while abortion was close behind at 34 percent. "Unaffiliated voters became the largest bloc in the state last fall," Taylor also said. Weve initiated inquiries into rural lending, family law and banking. The most competitive races, with predicted margins of under 5 points, are expected to be in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican. Before joining Congress, Kelly served as a U.S. Navy pilot and a NASA astronaut. "Barry Du Bois withdraws from Senate race". After almost losing Hunter in 2019, Joel Fitzgibbon tried to convince his Labor colleagues to look after the coal industry, but failed to shift their obsession with climate change. Rob Portman helped broker? Laxalt was the Republican gubernatorial nominee in 2018. The previous two Senate electionsheld in 2018 and 2020were both decided by 2.4 percentage points. The Philadelphia Inquirer's Julia Terruso wrote about the candidates' campaigns, saying, "Fettermans campaign holds large, energetic rallies, [while] Oz stages smaller community-based events." "Thepeople have indicated they have had enough of the major politicalparties Liberal, Labor and theGreens and the Nationals," Senator Hanson said. Prospects for Republican gains in the 50-50 Senate are not so good. After the elections, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced she had changed her party affiliation from Democrat to independent. But Biden's eroding job approval numbers could undermine that potential geographic advantage. President Joe Biden (D) won New Hampshire by 7.3 percentage points in 2020. Indeed, 2020 was actually a Democratic-leaning year, with Biden winning the national popular vote by 4.5 percentage points. Riverina businesswoman and farmer Katie McCulloch, and Lake Macquarie pastor Colin Grigg, will respectively stand as first and second on the NSW senate ticket while Singleton businessman Dale McNamara will contest the seat of Hunter. Senator. A statement attributed to Pauline Hanson on One Nation's website stated: "With so many candidates One Nation is going to have a big influence on this election as we have a very real chance of holding the balance of power in either the Lower House or the Senate." Hillary Clinton (D) won the state in the 2016 presidential election by 2.4 percentage points. Joe Biden (D) won the state of Nevada by 2.4 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. This number includes Sen. Jim Inhofe's (R-Okla.) seat, up for a special election on November 8, 2022. In Wisconsin, Sen. Ron Johnson was the only Republican in a race we rated as competitive who won independent voters, besting Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes by a three-point margin.[98]. The Economist's model is even more optimistic for the party, finding that in 78 out of 100 simulations, Democrats retain their majority in November. Prime Minister Scott Morrison and Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce, also Mr Christensen's leader in the Nationals party room, were repeatedly called on to reprimand the Queensland backbencher for peddling his theories. Two prominent election forecasting models now give Democrats a 70% or better chance of retaining their Senate majority in November, a major shift that suggests the fight for control may no longer be the toss-up that it has long been considered. Ballotpedia features 395,402 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. At the start of the 2022 election cycle, Inside Elections rated this state Battleground Republican.[74]. Or he could become the Republicans monkey wrench in the gears of a party trying to move on from Trump if his meddling in GOP primaries produces toxic nominees who turn off independent voters and keep the Democratic base unified and energized.[98]. Advertisement Support independent JournalismDonateSubscribe News News Local National World Politics [74], J.D. Senator at the time of the election, last won re-election in 2018 by seven percentage points. Rubio emphasized his Senate career; according to his campaign website, "As a U.S. We need to punish criminals severely. And the final Senate result will be within a seat or two of our earliest Senate projection. That could make these retirements less of a blow to Republicans than they first appear. Tech: Matt Latourelle Nathan Bingham Ryan Burch Kirsten Corrao Beth Dellea Travis Eden Tate Kamish Margaret Kearney Eric Lotto Joseph Sanchez. Inhofe announced he would resign from office effective January 3, 2023. In Pennsylvania, for example, Attorney General Josh Shapiro won the gubernatorial race by winning independents (by 29 points) and political moderates (by 40 points) by historic margins against the far-right, election-denying, Christian fundamentalist Republican Doug Mastriano. The court later fixed March 15, 2022, as the filing deadline for statewide offices and the U.S. Congress. Seven of the seats up for election were open[5], meaning the incumbents were not running for re-election. House elections are simply more susceptible to the national electoral environment than Senate elections. Weve had way too much time of politicians trying to tinker around the edges just trying to fix the superficial. The California State Senate was one of 88 state legislative chambers holding elections in 2022. The 2022 midterms could usher in a wave of full-spectrum MAGA supporters who would turn the GOP conference an even deeper shade of red and make the Senate a lot more like the fractious House. Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Chesbro, a retired educator, highlighted her support for renewable energy. The One Nation party will be contesting all 151 seats in the upcoming federal election. [53], Laxalt succeeded Cortez Masto as state attorney general, serving from 2015 to 2019. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and the party in power was coming up short. Bolduc said he'd support allowing states to set abortion policy.[65]. "[90], Wisconsin was one of two states that held a U.S. Senate election in 2022 with a Republican incumbent that President Joe Biden carried in the 2020 presidential election. Retrieved 22 April 2022. In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden (D) won the state over then-incumbent President Donald Trump (R), 49.5% to 48.8%. "[63][64], Bolduc, a retired Army brigadier general, said the election "[was] about the economy, fiscal responsibility and the safety and security of this nation." Warnock co-sponsored the Warnock-Cruz Amendment, which provided support for a bipartisan infrastructure project connecting Georgia and Texas. Weve created Australian jobs, secured funding for critical infrastructure and regional projects, and provided life-saving medical treatments for Australians with rare conditions. } There was no more eye-popping spread than in New Hampshire, though. "It's not just a referendum on Biden," insists Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster who worked for the President during the campaign. Democrats managed this despite President Bidens mediocre approval rating and the tendency for voters to sour on the presidents party in midterms. These are the seven tightest 2022 . In a July 2018 report, Ballotpedia defined wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in the last 100 years resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party. Voters were primed for change but chose the status quo instead. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. What an unmitigated disaster that would be for our country. "So Christensen gets more money if he runs and loses. On September 12, 2022, Kelley withdrew from the race and endorsed Tshibaka. Bolduc's campaign ads emphasized his military background and called Hassan a career politician. In 2022, Democrats had a net gain of one seat. One Nation and UAP preferences . And John Fetterman in Pennsylvania, who won his race by a 5 percent vote margin, garnered the support of 58 percent of independents. 100% remote. Mehmet Oz, the more moderate Republican candidate for US Senate, was dragged down both by Mastriano and his own poorly run campaign, losing independents by 20 points and moderates by 30 points. The Hill's Caroline Vakil said, "Floridas Senate race is considered one of the most competitive this November. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Walker said he also ran to save "our country and the great state of Georgia from President Bidens disastrous agenda which has led to higher prices, out-of-control crime, dangerous open borders, and America Last foreign policy. Before her time in office, Demings worked in law enforcement for nearly three decades. In NSW, Labor has 38.5%, the Coalition 38.4%, the Greens 10.4% and One Nation 2.0%. In a campaign ad, Fetterman said, "Our economy is a mess because of Washington, [and] the rich, powerful, the insiders, and the lobbyists. [77] Ryan said, "You know, I think the last thing that the United States Senate needs is another millionaire who got funded by a billionaire to the tune of $15 million or who comes out of Silicon Valley. ^ a b "Candidates' resignation". [67] In Hassan's first Senate bid in 2016, she spent $19 million to incumbent Sen. Kelly Ayotte's (R) $16 million.[68]. Warnock, Walker, and Chase Oliver (L) ran to represent Georgia in the U.S. Senate. The firebrand MP has been one of the most vocal critics of pandemic restrictions, and quit a lucrative position as a chair of a parliamentary committee after urging parents to avoid getting their children vaccinated against COVID-19. "[50] Based on pre-general election reports filed with the FEC, Schmitt cumulatively raised $5.7 million and spent $5.5 million. Baldwin ( D ) 46.2 % boosts her vote members of Congress36 representatives and four senatorsdid n't re-election. Kelley withdrew from the race and endorsed Tshibaka Eric Lotto Joseph Sanchez election, last won re-election against McGinty... Navy pilot and a NASA astronaut to the U.S. House in 2016, Toomey won re-election against McGinty... 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